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Attachment E:
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Methods Used to Establish the Current Cost of
Educational Achievement in New York State and Its Relationship to Student
Poverty
Charles Winters
December 3, 2003
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Per Pupil Cost Data:
Expenditure and revenue data were compiled for all operating districts from
the local financial reports (ST-3) for 2001-2002. Expenditures were included
from both the General Fund and from the Special Aid Fund. Construction costs,
pre-kindergarten costs, inter-fund transfers and summer youth employment costs
were not included. Costs funded by NCLB and IDEA (K-12) and grants
such as magnet schools were included. These Special Aid fund expenditures
make up over 20% of instructional costs for some urban schools. Per pupil
costs were derived by dividing the cost by the K-12 enrollment, less .5 for
half-day kindergarten programs.
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Regional Adjustment:
Per pupil costs were regionally
adjusted using the NCES index relationship with the lowest county represented
by an index of 1.0 with all other counties indexed to that county. This
reduces all district per-pupil costs to the equivalent of those in the lowest
county for all districts.
- Eliminate Size
Factors: Only districts that
tested a minimum of 100 students on both Math and ELA in both 4th
and 8th grade were included. This eliminated small districts and
K-6 districts.
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Calculate the Achievement Measure:
The percentage of students achieving each of the four performance levels on
each of the four tests in each district was calculated. This percentage was
multiplied by the number of levels above the base level (one). Thus, the
percentage in level two was multiplied by one; the percentage in level three
was multiplied by two; and the percentage in level four was multiplied by
three. When aggregated, this represents the total levels that students were
raised above the base. For example, if all students (100%) scored in level
four, the aggregate would be 300 (100 X 3), meaning that the entire student
body had achieved three levels above basic. The scores for the four tests
were then averaged to yield an aggregate measure of 4th and 8th
grade achievement.
- Calculate the Per-Pupil
Cost of Achievement: For each
district, the regionally adjusted per-pupil cost was divided by the average
achievement score. This represents the regionally adjusted cost of raising
one percent of the students by one level on average for four tests in each
district testing at least 100 students.
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Calculate the Relationship Between the
Achievement Cost and Student Poverty:
A best fit linear regression calculation and scatter-plot was done using the
K-6 Free and Reduced Price Lunch (FRPL) percent as the independent variable
and the regionally adjusted cost per level achieved as the dependent
variable. This calculation helps determine three critical issues:
- Is the
relationship a strong, consistent and linear one?
Yes, the free lunch rate predicts almost 57%
of the deviation in cost.
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What is the cost of achievement at the
zero-poverty level? $40.065 per
percent of students per level raised, or $4,006.50 to raise all students one
level.
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What is the relationship between cost and
poverty? For every increase of
10% in the student poverty, the cost to raise all students one level
increases by $436.90, or slightly more than ten percent. At 100% poverty,
this cost would rise by $4,369 to be slightly more than double the cost for
the zero-poverty district. This equates to a poverty weighting of 1.0905.
This mathematical formula best predicts the actual costs and performance
reported in these districts for 2001-2002. While the exact numbers will
change somewhat based on the cost indexing method, the number of districts
included and other factors, this overall relationship is very durable.
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Albany
Amsterdam
Auburn
Batavia
Beacon
Binghamton
Canandaigua
Cohoes
Corning
Cortland
Dunkirk
Elmira
Fulton
Geneva
Glen Cove
Glens Falls
Gloversville
Hornell
Hudson
Ithaca
Jamestown
Johnstown
Kingston
Lackawanna
Little
Falls
Lockport
Long
Beach
Mechanicville
Middletown
Mount
Vernon
New
Rochelle
Newburgh
Niagara
Falls
N.
Tonawanda
Norwich
Ogdensburg
Olean
Oneida
Oneonta
Oswego
Peekskill
Plattsburgh
Port
Jervis
Poughkeepsie
Rensselaer
Rome
Rye
Salamanca
Saratoga
Schenectady
Tonawanda
Troy
Utica
Vernon
Verona Sherrill
Watertown
Watervliet
White
Plains
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